Traffic Predict
Fresno Traffic and the Economy
In August 2026, weekday freeway traffic in Fresno was 0.7% lower than a year earlier, with gas at $5.13 a gallon (+27% on the year).
Do gas prices and jobs move traffic here?
- Gas prices: a 10% rise in gas prices went with 0.25% more traffic than a year earlier, on average (a moderate link: correlation 0.21).
- Unemployment: a 1-point rise in unemployment went with 0.49% less traffic than a year earlier, on average (a moderate link: correlation -0.30).
Over 86 months, each compared with the same month a year earlier (so seasons cancel out); the pandemic months (March 2020 through 2021) are left out.
Freeway traffic compared with a year earlier
Month by month
| Month | Traffic vs a year earlier | Gas price | Gas vs a year earlier | Unemployment | Change on the year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 2026 | -0.7% | $5.13 | +27% | – | – |
| July 2026 | +1.5% | $4.94 | +23% | 7.9% | -0.5 pts |
| June 2026 | +0.5% | $5.21 | +26% | 7.9% | -0.5 pts |
| May 2026 | +0.2% | $5.59 | +32% | 8.0% | -0.4 pts |
| April 2026 | +0.9% | $5.38 | +27% | 8.0% | -0.3 pts |
| March 2026 | +2.8% | $4.89 | +19% | 8.1% | -0.1 pts |
| February 2026 | +0.6% | $3.98 | -3% | 8.2% | +0.1 pts |
| January 2026 | +2.6% | $3.68 | -4% | 8.3% | +0.2 pts |
| December 2025 | +2.2% | $3.87 | +2% | 8.4% | +0.4 pts |
| November 2025 | +4.1% | $4.12 | +5% | 8.4% | +0.5 pts |
| October 2025 | -5.4% | $4.18 | +4% | – | – |
| September 2025 | -0.5% | $4.23 | +3% | 8.4% | +0.5 pts |
| August 2025 | +3.0% | $4.05 | 0% | 8.4% | +0.5 pts |
| July 2025 | +2.9% | $4.03 | -3% | 8.4% | +0.5 pts |
| June 2025 | +2.4% | $4.15 | -5% | 8.4% | +0.5 pts |
| May 2025 | +2.9% | $4.23 | -9% | 8.4% | +0.6 pts |
| April 2025 | +3.1% | $4.25 | -11% | 8.3% | +0.5 pts |
| March 2025 | +2.3% | $4.11 | -5% | 8.2% | +0.5 pts |
| February 2025 | +4.4% | $4.08 | +1% | 8.1% | +0.4 pts |
| January 2025 | +2.8% | $3.84 | -4% | 8.1% | +0.4 pts |
| December 2024 | +3.0% | $3.80 | -8% | 8.0% | +0.4 pts |
| November 2024 | +2.7% | $3.91 | -13% | 7.9% | +0.3 pts |
| October 2024 | +3.9% | $4.02 | -20% | 7.9% | +0.3 pts |
| September 2024 | +2.3% | $4.10 | -19% | 7.9% | +0.4 pts |
| August 2024 | +2.6% | $4.07 | -15% | 7.9% | +0.4 pts |
| July 2024 | +2.1% | $4.18 | -8% | 7.9% | +0.5 pts |
| June 2024 | +1.9% | $4.35 | -4% | 7.9% | +0.5 pts |
| May 2024 | +3.3% | $4.66 | +3% | 7.8% | +0.5 pts |
| April 2024 | +2.2% | $4.76 | +6% | 7.8% | +0.6 pts |
| March 2024 | +3.6% | $4.34 | -1% | 7.7% | +0.6 pts |
| February 2024 | +0.2% | $4.03 | -3% | 7.7% | +0.8 pts |
| January 2024 | +0.9% | $4.01 | 0% | 7.7% | +0.9 pts |
| December 2023 | -0.8% | $4.12 | +1% | 7.6% | +0.9 pts |
| November 2023 | +1.9% | $4.47 | -7% | 7.6% | +0.9 pts |
| October 2023 | +0.3% | $5.03 | -7% | 7.6% | +1.0 pts |
| September 2023 | +1.0% | $5.08 | +4% | 7.5% | +1.0 pts |
How this is measured
Traffic: for every freeway sensor in Fresno, the average number of vehicles on a weekday in the month, compared with the same sensor in the same month a year earlier. Only sensors with data in both months count, so new or retired sensors don't look like more or less traffic. Gas: average price of regular gasoline in West Coast average (U.S. Energy Information Administration). Unemployment: the Fresno metro area (Bureau of Labor Statistics). Economic data via FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Road sensors: Caltrans PeMS.
See also: is Fresno traffic getting worse? and gas prices and driving nationwide.